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The answer is that the formula commonly known as the Kelly Criterion is not the real Kelly Criterion - it is a simplified form that works when there is only one bet at a time. How to use the “real” or generalised Kelly Criterion. Below is an explanation of how to apply the generalised Kelly Criterion to betting: Kelly Betting Optimization - Betting Systems - Gambling ... Kelly Betting Optimization. ... I think you are misusing the, 'Kelly Criterion,' since Kelly is meant for betting (or investing) at an advantage, the optimal Kelly bet on this proposition is $0 overall and $0 on the odds because you do not have an advantage. The best system to take advantage of a short winning streak on the Don't Pass is to bet ...

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